UN PREDICTS DOLLAR COLLAPSE IN 2009

FINANCIAL TIMES

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The current strength of the dollar is temporary and the US currency risks a hard landing in 2009, according to a team of United Nations economists who foresaw a year ago that a US downturn would bring the global economy to a near standstill.

In their annual report on the world economy published on Monday, the economists said the dollar’s sharp rebound this autumn had been driven mainly by a flight to the safety of the international reserve currency as the financial crisis spread beyond the US.

The overall trend remained a downward one, however, reflecting perceptions that the US debt position was approaching unsustainable levels. An accelerated fall of the dollar could bring new turmoil to financial markets.

“Investors might renew their flight to safety, though this time away from dollar-denominated assets, thereby forcing the US economy into a hard landing and pulling the global economy into a deeper recession,” the report said.

Publication of the annual survey by the UN’s Department of Economic and Social Affairs, its trade organisation Unctad and UN regional bodies, was brought forward by a month in the light of the financial crisis. It was launched in Doha to coincide with the UN-sponsored development financing conference in the Qatari capital.

The UN team said that, as the financial crisis spread beyond the US, there had been a massive shift of global financial assets into US Treasury bills, driving their yields almost to zero and pushing the dollar sharply higher. At the same time, however, the US’s external debt had risen to new heights that could provoke a dollar collapse.

The report recommends reform of the international reserve system away from almost exclusive reliance on the dollar and towards a globally backed multi-currency system.

Rob Vos, a Dutch economist who heads the UN’s policy and analysis division and who is responsible for the annual economic review, said the global economic pain could be eased if governments co-ordinated a spate of stimulus packages that were already under way.

“There has been a sea change in attitudes in favour of intervention and concerted action,” he told the Financial Times. He welcomed statements from US president-elect Barack Obama’s transition team in support of spending on infrastructure.

 

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  • 12/2/2008 2:44 PM Revan wrote:
    C'mon, guys...let's step back and really look at this stuff. No more credit cards, no more mortgage, no more tiny green pieces of fabric-paper. What happens when 8.5 trillion dollars just doesn't matter anymore? Isn't worth anything?

    Not that I think it's worth much as it is, silly people and their silly IOU's. That's about what the dollar is now. Just an IOU.
    Reply to this
    1. 5/25/2011 11:21 AM michaels coupons wrote:
      The good news is the dollar is still alive. The bad news is the value of dollar keep going down.
      Reply to this
  • 12/18/2008 12:01 PM obama air force ones wrote:
    first they said it will happen in 2008, then 2010, well 2008's gonna be gone by in a few days, when is the actual year of the collapse?
    Reply to this
  • 2/13/2009 12:33 PM Robert Hillman wrote:
    just get me a good woman that wants to have a marriage
    grow our own food

    live in the country
    pay 275 a month rent
    and buy real silver for the next ten years
    then when the depression is over
    we will be rich with REAL MONEY

    oh yeah and i am fourty two
    raised four children alone for fourteen years
    and love sex
    Reply to this
  • 2/18/2009 1:27 AM rajv wrote:
    We all know SOMETHING is coming and that the worst may be yet to come.

    If you want to learn how to PREPARE for and GAIN from it check out the site:
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  • 4/21/2009 8:05 AM what are progressive payouts wrote:
    I addition as far as the USA is conern debt currently stand at $9 tn or 65% of GDP. However, it is forecast to increase substantially Some argue National debt could soon pass 100%. This is because
    Financial bailout for subprime debt. If house prices continue to fall, if mortgage defaults continue to rise; the legacy of toxic debt could leave the US treasury facing unprecedented losses as it tries to bale out the system.
    Long term spending commitments on health care and pension will increase spending. Although, this has gained less publicity, in the long term, it could be more expensive than the current financial bailout. The Ageing population will increase the debt burden.
    Reply to this
  • 6/9/2009 5:21 AM GTFONWO! wrote:
    Down with the beast!
    I can't say i'd be sad over a complete crash of the banking system. The killing machine known as the UN might actually run into some problems! Debt ruins lives, and we are all debt slaves in one way or another.
    Lets just hope they don't use this to push for the 1 world currency ( Amero )

    Any system where you have to make a person poor to get rich is wrong. This whole system needs a revamp!
    Reply to this
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